Mass Effect: Andromeda Sales Estimate

Mass Effect Andromeda Poor Sales

The top 10 best-selling games of 2017 isn’t looking too hot. We’re past the midway point of the year prepping for the sales rush of the holiday season and what we’re looking at here in the latest NPD chart is not impressive at all. Nevertheless, the figures do give us an opportunity to round off figures and finally figure out exactly how poorly a game like Mass Effect: Andromeda may have sold, especially given how reticent EA has been about the game’s sales figures.

Venture Beat rolled out the top 10 best-selling when it comes to physical game sales, and the list starts with Tom Clancy’s Ghost Recon: Wildlands and ends with Resident Evil 7: Biohazard. You can check out the list below.

  1. Tom Clancy’s Ghost Recon: Wildlands
  2. The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild*
  3. Grand Theft Auto V
  4. For Honor
  5. Horizon Zero Dawn
  6. Injustice 2
  7. Mass Effect: Andromeda
  8. Madden NFL 18
  9. NBA 2K17
  10. Resident Evil 7: Biohazard

To get a gauge on the lowest end and highest end of the sales spectrum of the list it’s best to figure out what the game on the bottom part of the chart sold and what the game at the top end of the chart sold.

So we know that Resident Evil 7: Biohazard only moved 3.7 million copies from January up through the summer, and that includes both digital and physical sales. We also know that the game moved nearly 1.6 million digital units on Steam alone according to Steam Spy, and so we know that at the very least Resident Evil 7 moved 2.1 million on the Xbox One and PS4. What share of that is digital remains to be seen, but Capcom noted that digital sales contributed to a “certain extent” in the quarterly report.

For a little perspective, Crystal Dynamics’ 2013 Tomb Raider reboot managed to sell 3.4 million under four weeks on the PS3, Xbox 360 and PC, according to Eurogamer. So there’s definitely a downward trend in sales, at least as far as name-brands are concerned.

For a gauge on what the other games have sold like, the top end of the chart sees Tom Clancy’s: Ghost Recon Wildlands taking the number one spot so far. Unfortunately the game has a giant mystery box by its sales figures.

Critical Hit Gaming only reports that the game helped push Ubisoft’s quarterly figures past expectations, but we have no clue what the actual sales figures are.

We can glean estimates from sites like Steam Spy, which puts the total owners at around 550,000 on PC. And during its first week it moved 1.62 million copies according to Game Tunnel; but figures since then have been absent from the news wire.

While VG Chartz is considered unreliable, they estimate retail to be around 3.23 million physical SKUs sold between the Xbox One and PS4, which would mean that from those estimates it’s moved around 3.78 million units between physical sales and Steam sales. We know that’s not the final figure because it’s outsold The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild, which moved 3.92 million digital and physical units. So obviously, that would mean the digital sales for Ghost Recon: Wildlands would have pushed it over the 4 million mark and possibly close to 5 million.

Either way, the game hasn’t sold so much that Ubisoft has been confident enough in any way to actually reveal the hard numbers.

We do know for a fact that it’s under Madden NFL 17 on the top 10 chart for collected sales data for the last 12 months, as listed in the chart below from the NPD.

  1. Call of Duty: Infinite Warfare
  2. Battlefield 1
  3. NBA 2K17
  4. Grand Theft Auto V
  5. Madden NFL 17
  6. Tom Clancy’s Ghost Recon: Wildlands
  7. FIFA 17
  8. The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild*
  9. Final Fantasy XV
  10. For Honor

According to Fox Business, analysts projected Madden NFL 17 to move about 5.5 million units; it managed to do a million SKUs out of the gate during launch week last year.

So to help put this into perspective, the top selling multiplatform AAA game across home consoles and PC has moved somewhere south of 5 through 6 million units. To put that another way, the top-selling AAA game on the market has done maybe just over half of what Bluehole Studios managed to accomplish with Playerunknown’s Battlegrounds on PC, which moved more than 11 million copies this year, according to Steam Spy.

Even worse yet is that games like Mass Effect: Andromeda did so bad that EA and BioWare have been too ashamed to even reveal what the total sales figures are, whether that be physical, digital or a combination of both.

For a little extra perspective, Mass Effect: Andromeda sold less than Injustice 2 when it comes to physical sales, and we know it obviously has sold less than the games at the top end of the chart, so it’s obviously done less than 4 million.

We do know that Injustice 2 moved 500,000 digital copies on PS4 and Xbox One back in May, according to Superdata Research. And since Injustice 2 is lower on the board than Horizon: Zero Dawn, which has moved 3.4 million units – 915,000 of which were digital  according to PlayStation LifeStyle.  This means that Injustice 2 has moved around 2 – 3 million units since Horizon has moved approximately 2.4 million physical SKUs. We know that it’s just above 2 million for Injustice 2 because it’s still tracking above Tekken 7, which has already moved 1.66 million units across PS4, Xbox One and PC, according to MS Power User.

Now according to the NPD chart for the best-selling games of 2017, they counted the last week of August’s sales for Madden NFL 18, which tracked just above 1.7 million SKUs during its first week of sales, according to CNN. So that means that Mass Effect: Andromeda has sold just under 2.4 million but above 1.7 million when it comes to physical units.

For a little bit of extra perspective, Mass Effect 3 sold 3.5 million copies during its launch quarter as reported by DualShockers, and peaked at 6 million copies sold over the course of its lifetime on the market. Mass Effect: Andromeda managed to sell less than 2.4 million copies over the course of two quarters, or at worse, just barely above 1.7 million physical copies over the last two quarters.

TL;DR: Mass Effect Andromeda sold anywhere between 1.7 and 2.4 million physical copies.